Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 22.322075 25.352772 28.663625 32.552251 36.998687 41.929253 47.818177
2025-01-12 16.925863 20.814685 25.427634 31.316442 38.654105 47.521699 59.090602
2025-01-19 13.662987 17.930099 23.345388 30.751551 40.664244 53.539963 71.640687
2025-01-26 11.929747 16.547126 22.755198 31.764422 44.593355 62.338064 88.973973
2025-02-02 10.770724 15.678490 22.618478 33.228996 49.188434 72.531117 109.686025
2025-02-09 9.589019 14.561122 21.910486 33.675987 52.252676 80.809079 128.714432
2025-02-16 8.374878 13.201715 20.621850 32.997169 53.402751 86.202444 143.896755
2025-02-23 7.409634 12.085134 19.534979 32.435581 54.574124 91.658631 159.826070
2025-03-02 6.632852 11.164281 18.628169 32.012265 55.851921 97.358068 176.876501
2025-03-09 6.047410 10.484824 18.025941 32.002284 57.791826 104.373498 197.215879
2025-03-16 5.526163 9.850210 17.417065 31.883060 59.480086 111.089675 217.890618
2025-03-23 5.242330 9.601430 17.452099 32.926342 63.434011 122.485904 249.339934
2025-03-30 4.849812 9.124028 17.043987 33.135661 65.916982 131.590604 278.055063
2025-04-06 4.366643 8.422912 16.141217 32.274808 66.167608 136.302668 298.353430
2025-04-13 3.993315 7.891601 15.502877 31.858560 67.264454 142.889908 323.810202
2025-04-20 3.823214 7.744621 15.605453 32.983091 71.780228 157.403140 369.749833
2025-04-27 3.707404 7.694270 15.895704 34.539373 77.450484 175.267826 426.693089
2025-05-04 3.501077 7.430258 15.708360 35.018884 80.739703 188.149823 473.616132
2025-05-11 3.215201 6.964032 15.036290 34.317416 81.168972 194.329606 504.504708
2025-05-18 2.967571 6.555752 14.447150 33.734623 81.801436 201.082692 538.067479
2025-05-25 2.754429 6.202745 13.944219 33.294494 82.724812 208.688127 575.285958
2025-06-01 2.590557 5.945790 13.633831 33.284518 84.735753 219.374864 623.081231
2025-06-08 2.433251 5.688045 13.294388 33.160451 86.433242 229.477342 671.021271